Silver Price May Hit $100/oz Amid Risks: Expert Analysis | Quick Digest
Experts forecast silver could reach $100 per ounce, driven by industrial demand and geopolitical tensions, but warn of a potential sharp correction thereafter. Major banks hold more conservative outlooks for 2026, highlighting significant market volatility and underlying risks.
Silver price could potentially touch $100/oz, say some experts.
A significant market correction is anticipated after silver peaks.
Industrial demand, supply deficits, and geopolitical tensions drive bullish outlook.
Mainstream bank forecasts are generally more conservative, around $50-$70 for 2026.
Key risks include shifting Fed policy, supply increases, and waning safe-haven demand.
Indian MCX silver rates reflect global market fluctuations and trends.
A Mint article, published on January 16, 2026, highlighted expert predictions suggesting that silver could surge to $100 per ounce, a forecast driven by persistent geopolitical tensions, a global supply shortfall, and robust industrial demand, particularly from the burgeoning clean energy sector. Technical analysis, including the formation of a 'rounding bottom pattern,' also supports a potential fresh uptrend for the white metal. However, the report, along with several other financial analyses, concurrently issues a strong warning of a possible significant price correction after silver reaches such elevated levels.
While some analysts and market commentators, such as Citigroup, Robert Kiyosaki, Alan Hibbard of GoldSilver, and Philippe Gijsels of BNP Paribas, believe a triple-digit silver price is achievable in 2026, the consensus among many major banks and mainstream financial institutions remains more conservative. These institutions generally project silver prices to hover in the $50-$70 range for 2026, though even these represent historically high levels. The underlying factors supporting the bullish sentiment include ongoing structural supply deficits, which have seen demand outstrip mine supply for several consecutive years, and explosive industrial demand from sectors like solar, electric vehicles, and AI-driven data centers. On the other hand, critical risks that could trigger a correction include shifts in Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations (especially if inflation re-accelerates or economic growth remains strong, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts), potential increases in silver supply later in the year, and a decline in safe-haven demand if geopolitical tensions ease. The Indian Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) silver prices have also shown significant volatility, mirroring the movements and sentiments of the international silver markets.
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