Gold to $5,000, Silver to $100: Resource Nationalism Fuels Metals Rally | Quick Digest

Gold to $5,000, Silver to $100: Resource Nationalism Fuels Metals Rally | Quick Digest
Major financial institutions like Citigroup, HSBC, and UBS predict gold could reach $5,000 per ounce and silver $100 this year, driven by resource nationalism, geopolitical risks, and robust demand. This marks a significant near-term outlook for precious metals.

Gold prices forecast to hit $5,000/ounce by major banks in 2026.

Silver predicted to surge to $100/ounce by Citigroup in the near-term.

Resource nationalism identified as a key driver for precious metals appreciation.

Geopolitical risks and central bank buying also contribute to bullish outlook.

Supply shortages, particularly in silver, are amplifying price momentum.

Predictions highlight potential volatility and profit-taking after initial surges.

Major financial institutions are projecting a significant rally in precious metals this year, with gold potentially soaring to $5,000 per ounce and silver reaching $100 per ounce. Citigroup, for instance, has upgraded its near-term price forecasts, expecting gold to hit $5,000 and silver $100 within the next three months, citing heightened geopolitical risks, ongoing physical market shortages for silver, and renewed uncertainty regarding the US Federal Reserve's independence. HSBC and UBS also share a bullish outlook for gold, anticipating prices to exceed $5,000 in the first half of 2026, though HSBC warns of a potential correction later in the year. JPMorgan and Bank of America have also set a $5,000 target for gold in 2026. These optimistic forecasts are underpinned by a confluence of factors, prominently including 'resource nationalism.' This trend sees governments asserting greater control over natural resources for strategic and economic reasons, as exemplified by China's recent export controls on silver, which significantly impacts global supply. Beyond resource nationalism, sustained central bank demand, low real interest rates, and increased geopolitical uncertainty are consistently cited as structural drivers for gold's upward trajectory. For silver, its dual role as an industrial metal, critical for clean energy and advanced manufacturing, combined with investment demand and supply deficits, is expected to fuel its outperformance. While analysts acknowledge potential for price volatility and short-term corrections, the overarching sentiment points to a robust bull market for precious metals, driven by these fundamental shifts in global economic and political landscapes.
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