HDFC, ICICI Bank Q3 Preview: Steady Loan Growth, Mixed Margin Outlook | Quick Digest

HDFC, ICICI Bank Q3 Preview: Steady Loan Growth, Mixed Margin Outlook | Quick Digest
HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank are poised to report their Q3FY26 earnings on January 17, 2026. Both banks anticipate healthy loan growth, though Net Interest Margins (NIMs) are expected to remain under pressure for HDFC Bank and stable for ICICI Bank. Analyst focus will be on deposit mobilization strategies and margin trajectories.

HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank Q3FY26 results due January 17, 2026.

Both banks expect healthy, firm loan growth in the December quarter.

HDFC Bank's Net Interest Margins likely to decline year-on-year.

ICICI Bank's Net Interest Margins forecast to remain stable.

Profit After Tax (PAT) growth expected to be moderate for both.

Deposit growth and margin trends are key investor focus areas.

HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank, two of India's largest private lenders, are scheduled to announce their Q3FY26 (October-December 2025) financial results on Saturday, January 17, 2026. Market analysts anticipate a generally steady performance for both banks, primarily driven by robust loan growth. For HDFC Bank, brokerages project a Net Interest Income (NII) growth of 4.5-8% year-on-year, with Profit After Tax (PAT) growth estimated between 6-13% year-on-year. Loan book expansion is expected to be healthy, ranging from 11.8% to 13.2% year-on-year. However, HDFC Bank's Net Interest Margins (NIMs) are largely anticipated to decline year-on-year, while remaining relatively flat quarter-on-quarter, indicating sustained pressure. Investor attention will heavily concentrate on management commentary regarding deposit mobilization efforts and the bank's margin trajectory in the upcoming quarters. Some analysts suggest a muted profit growth despite stable margins. ICICI Bank is also set to report a steady quarter, with NII projected to grow by 6-8% year-on-year, supported by healthy expansion in its retail and SME loan segments. PAT growth for ICICI Bank is estimated to be in the range of 1-7.2% year-on-year. Crucially, ICICI Bank's NIMs are expected to remain stable at approximately 4.3%, with some forecasts even suggesting a slight sequential uptick. Key areas for investors to watch include asset quality, credit costs, and any commentary on digital lending and unsecured loan exposures. Overall, while loan growth remains a strong positive for both institutions, the narrative around margin recovery appears more nuanced, particularly for HDFC Bank.
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